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October 28, 2024

Spain | Consumption Outlook. October 2024

Private consumption growth will exceed 2023 levels (1.8%) in both 2024 (2.5%) and 2025 (2.1%), driven by positive underlying fundamentals.

October 18, 2024

Colombia | The forest, a lever for sustainable development in Colombia

Deforestation in Colombia is unsustainable environmentally, economically, and socially. Reversing it requires strengthening land ownership and usage systems, promoting sustainable development, and assigning value to natural assets. Coordination between public policies and the private sector is essential.

October 17, 2024

Mexico Real Estate Outlook. Second Semester 2024

The accumulated Construction GDP grows 10.1% in the second quarter of 2024, with increases in all subsectors. In a change of trend, the mortgage market is now increasing 2.2% in real amount and is set to continue advancing

October 15, 2024

Spain Economic Outlook. October 2024

GDP growth forecasts have been revised upwards by 0.4 percentage points for 2024 to reach 2.9%, and by 0.3 pp for 2025 to reach 2.4%. This is due to statistical revisions of historical data, recent developments more favorable than expected, and improved estimates of external and internal demand contributions.

October 3, 2024

Mexico Economic Outlook. October 2024

Growth and inflation moderate; we estimate that a continuous cycle of rate cuts has begun. We revised downward the economic growth forecast for 2024 and 2025 given the weakening of domestic demand.

October 3, 2024

Peru Economic Outlook. October 2024

GDP will grow 2.9% this year and 2.7% in 2025. Private spending will gain traction in the coming quarters, supported by more favourable financial conditions, the impact of private pension funds withdrawals, and the beginning of construction of some infrastructure projects, while public spending will moderate.

October 2, 2024

China Economic Outlook. October 2024

The Chinese economy is experiencing structural rebalancing amid deep real estate adjustment. Due to the large-scale stimulus package, we believe the economy will bottom out in the near future.

October 1, 2024

Colombia Economic Outlook. October 2024

Domestic demand will lead Colombia’s economic recovery, driven by improved financial conditions that will strengthen consumption and investment. This will provide a significant boost to sectors such as manufacturing and retail. In the long run, increasing investment will be essential to raise the country’s growth potential.

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Our most recent publications

October 31, 2024

Global | BBVA Research Big Data Geopolitics Monitor. October 31, 2024

Israel targets Iranian military objectives in retaliatory attack. Recount of ballots in Georgia after protests. Virtual tight in U.S. Election polls.

October 31, 2024

Mexico | Economy grew 1.0% QoQ in 3Q24; headwinds for 2025

The tertiary sector surprises on the upside with a growth of 0.9% QoQ, while the industrial sector grows 0.9% as manufacturing moderates its slowdown (primary sector 4.6%).

October 30, 2024

Spain | Basque Country Economic Outlook 2024

GDP per capita growth in the Basque Country between 2019 and 2025 could double that of Spain as a whole. GDP could increase by 2.0% in 2024 and 2.8% in 2025.

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