Filter all of our publications to find the ones about the geography you are most interested in.
Filter all of our publications to find the ones you are most interested in by content language, date, geography and/or topic.
Artificial intelligence (AI) holds great potential for boosting economic productivity and driving climate action, supporting innovations for the energy transition. However, it also places increasing strain on energy and water resources.
In the second quarter of 2024, the current account deficit stood at 1.6% of GDP, the lowest level since 2009. FDI fell to 2.75% of GDP, though it was sufficient to finance the deficit. The deficit is expected to close 2024 at around 3% of GDP.
Social Security affiliation fell by 193,700, and unemployment increased by 21,900 due to seasonal factors. After adjusting for this factor, it is estimated that the number of contributors rose by 23,000, while the unemployed decreased by 4,500.…
July inflation was 0.28% m/m. The result is explained by the increase in the prices of some foods, especially poultry products and tubers, which was explained by supply factors. With this result, the interannual inflation rate stood at 2.0% in …
Remittances have been volatile over the past five months. Increases have been reported in two of them (April and June, even months) and declines in three months (March, May and July, odd months). In August, the peso depreciated 5.4%, so the nex…
The slowdown in credit growth started to become more pronounced towards the end of 2Q24 with tight monetary policy and more restrictive macroprudential measures. TL and FC credit growth levels came below the regulatory thresholds.
Formal employment grew by 2.0% year-on-year in July, similar to the previous month but 0.2 percentage points below the forecast. A moderate improvement is expected in the coming months. Permanent employment has shown resilience, with 322 thousand new positions this year.
DiGiX aims to capture the global evolution of digitization by monitoring this pheonomenon across 98 countries. Our index combines 24 variables grouped in six dimensions that represent three pillars: supply (infrastructure and costs), demand (us…
July national inflation was, as expected, the lowest of the year (4.0% m/m, 263.4% y/y). It was in line with market forecasts (BBVA: 4.1% m/m, Central Bank consensus: 3.9% m/m), although slightly above the Central Bank's forecast (3.7% m/m).
Filter all of our publications to find the ones about the geography you are most interested in.
Filter all of our publications to find the ones you are most interested in by content language, date, geography and/or topic.
In its September meeting, the Board of the Central Bank decided to cut the policy rate by 25 basis points to 5.25%. The monetary policy stance, understood as the real ex-ante reference rate, remains in restrictive territory.
Employment continues to slow down, with minimal monthly increases. According to the IMSS, formal employment grew by 1.8% annually in August, 0.2 points less than in June and July. Seasonally adjusted job creation has shown three months of 0.1% variations, reflecting weakness in annual variations.
today’s ECB meeting did not offer much new information, as widely expected, apart from making the second rate cut this year. With virtually no hints today, this meeting supports our expectation of a very gradual cycle of rate cuts, with one mor…
August inflation was 4.2% m/m and core inflation accelerated again. We revised our 2024 projection from 135% to 130% due to a longer than expected exchange rate crawling peg.
This paper examines the performance of Random Forest models in forecasting short-term monthly inflation in Argentina, based on a database of monthly indicators since 1962.
