Filter all of our publications to find the ones about the geography you are most interested in.
Filter all of our publications to find the ones you are most interested in by content language, date, geography and/or topic.
March 25, 2025
In 2025, GDP is expected to grow by 5.5%, driven by consumption and investment, within a context of disinflationary consolidation and fiscal-monetary discipline. However, two key challenges remain: maintaining fiscal austerity during an election year and making significant progress in normalizing the foreign exchange market
March 18, 2025
The Peruvian economy will grow 3.1% in 2025, 0.4 percentage points more than forecast in December. This change primarily reflects higher expected growth in the US and China and earlier and increased investment flows into some mining and infrastructure projects. Growth is projected to remain at 2.7% for 2026.
March 17, 2025
GDP growth is expected to slow to 1.6% in 2025 and 1.8% in 2026, following three years of around 3% growth. The slowdown will be driven by tighter monetary conditions, a weaker fiscal impulse, and a less favorable global context, though the primary sector and labor market resilience will provide support.
March 13, 2025
Colombia’s economy will grow 2.5% in 2025 and 2.9% in 2026, driven by consumption and investment. Inflation will continue declining, though housing and energy costs will remain rigid. Monetary policy will gradually lower rates, while the external deficit will widen due to rising imports and lower remittance inflows.
March 13, 2025
The recovery will continue in 2025 (2.8%) driven by greater competitiveness, lower oil prices, investment in renewable energy, euro depreciation, and lower inflation and interest rates. In 2026, growth will slow (1.8%) due to weaker expansion in Europe and increased uncertainty.
March 13, 2025
Amid the China-US trade war, we still raised our China 2025 and 2026 GDP forecast due to the jumbo size stimulus package, the new growth engine high-end manufacturing to support growth and lower-than-expected tariff imposed.
March 11, 2025
Hydrocarbons remain a key component of both the global and Argentine energy matrix. The development of unconventional resources, led by Vaca Muerta, has revitalized the industry and improved the country's energy balance.. Despite the growth of renewable energies, gas and oil will continue to be fundamental.
March 11, 2025
Global financial volatility has risen due to the impact of evolving US policies, which we expect to create negative shocks. In Türkiye, financial conditions have recently eased above the neutral level and credit growth has accelerated beyond the capped segments, increasing the challenges on the inflation outlook.
February 25, 2025
The automotive industry has shown signs of recovery following the recent recession, with announcements of tax and tariff reductions favoring consumers and projecting an increase in vehicle sales in 2025, driven by enhanced income and improved credit access.
Filter all of our publications to find the ones about the geography you are most interested in.
Filter all of our publications to find the ones you are most interested in by content language, date, geography and/or topic.
April 4, 2025
The Banco de la República kept its interest rate unchanged in March, in a context of mixed variables surrounding the decision. In the end, the Bank prioritized economic stability, offering a significant demonstration of independence and technical expertise.
April 4, 2025
The geoeconomic fragmentation triggered by geopolitical concerns makes climate transitions more vulnerable, for example in the EU, which depends on politically distant suppliers of decarbonization inputs, or in emerging economies, which rely on external flows of sustainable finance.
April 4, 2025
This study analyzes the macroeconomic effects of carbon price shocks (EU-ETS) via a SVAR with Narrative Sign Restrictions. Facilitating identification and isolating shocks from demand factors, results indicate a stronger economic impact than previous carbon policy studies, but milder than recent works focused on the EU-ETS.
April 4, 2025
The 25% tariff that the United States will impose on automotive vehicles (beginning April 3) and auto parts (no later than May 3) will have an adverse impact on the global automotive industry. This is because automotive companies will have to increase production in the United States, reduce costs or raise prices.
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March 26, 2025
