Filter all of our publications to find the ones about the geography you are most interested in.
Filter all of our publications to find the ones you are most interested in by content language, date, geography and/or topic.
March 25, 2025
In 2025, GDP is expected to grow by 5.5%, driven by consumption and investment, within a context of disinflationary consolidation and fiscal-monetary discipline. However, two key challenges remain: maintaining fiscal austerity during an election year and making significant progress in normalizing the foreign exchange market
March 18, 2025
The Peruvian economy will grow 3.1% in 2025, 0.4 percentage points more than forecast in December. This change primarily reflects higher expected growth in the US and China and earlier and increased investment flows into some mining and infrastructure projects. Growth is projected to remain at 2.7% for 2026.
March 17, 2025
GDP growth is expected to slow to 1.6% in 2025 and 1.8% in 2026, following three years of around 3% growth. The slowdown will be driven by tighter monetary conditions, a weaker fiscal impulse, and a less favorable global context, though the primary sector and labor market resilience will provide support.
March 13, 2025
Colombia’s economy will grow 2.5% in 2025 and 2.9% in 2026, driven by consumption and investment. Inflation will continue declining, though housing and energy costs will remain rigid. Monetary policy will gradually lower rates, while the external deficit will widen due to rising imports and lower remittance inflows.
March 13, 2025
The recovery will continue in 2025 (2.8%) driven by greater competitiveness, lower oil prices, investment in renewable energy, euro depreciation, and lower inflation and interest rates. In 2026, growth will slow (1.8%) due to weaker expansion in Europe and increased uncertainty.
March 13, 2025
Amid the China-US trade war, we still raised our China 2025 and 2026 GDP forecast due to the jumbo size stimulus package, the new growth engine high-end manufacturing to support growth and lower-than-expected tariff imposed.
February 25, 2025
The automotive industry has shown signs of recovery following the recent recession, with announcements of tax and tariff reductions favoring consumers and projecting an increase in vehicle sales in 2025, driven by enhanced income and improved credit access.
Filter all of our publications to find the ones about the geography you are most interested in.
Filter all of our publications to find the ones you are most interested in by content language, date, geography and/or topic.
April 11, 2025
In its April meeting, the Board of the Central Bank decided to keep the policy rate at 4.75%. The monetary policy stance, understood as the real ex-ante reference rate, remains slightly above neutral.
April 10, 2025
Construction GDP grew 2.6% thanks to a 6.9% increase in building construction, despite the decline in other subsectors. The mortgage market increased its number of loans by 10.7%, primarily due to the recovery of affordable housing.
April 9, 2025
The public deficit looks to have ended 2024 at 2.8% of GDP (excluding the funds set aside to support the victims of the flash floods that struck in October). It is exactly the size of the fiscal imbalance recorded back in 2019.
April 8, 2025
In March 2025 Colombia's total inflation decreased to an annual rate of 5.1% breaking a four-month period of stability or slight increase. This moderation was primarily driven by a decline in non-food inflation, particularly due to the regulated basket. March monthly inflation was 0.52% falling below analysts' expectations.
