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BBVA Research

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December 5, 2024

Colombia Economic Outlook. December 2024

GDP will grow 2.5% in 2025 and 3.2% in 2026, driven by private consumption in durable goods, semi-durables, and services starting in 2026, and by fixed investment in infrastructure, machinery, and housing. Inflation will be 3.1% in 2026, with lower interest rates strengthening financial conditions.

December 5, 2024

Spain Economic Outlook. December 2024

GDP growth in 2024 has been revised upward by 0.2 percentage points, reaching 3.1%, driven by stronger-than-expected performance in the third quarter and a slight acceleration in job creation in the fourth. Growth is projected at 2.3% in 2025 and could settle at 1.7% in 2026.

December 4, 2024

Peru Economic Outlook. December 2024

The Peruvian economy will grow 3,1% in 2024, 0,2pp more than expected in October. The revision mainly reflects the third quarter positive surprise. For 2025 we expect a 2,7% expansion, amid a challenging external context, but also when large infrastructure projects will begin construction.

December 2, 2024

Argentina | Real Estate and Construction Outlook 2024

The change of cycle expected by the sector was confirmed. The repeal of the Rent Law, the resurgence of loans, a greater control of inflation and recovering real wages augur a further expansion of the real estate market.

November 28, 2024

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Mexico Economic Outlook. November 2024

We keep our GDP growth forecast for 2024 unchanged at 1.2%, and 1.0% for 2025; the favorable impact of economic activity in 2H24 is offset by lower exports and investment in the face of new tariffs next year.

November 4, 2024

Mexico | Regional Sectoral Outlook. Second Half 2024

The Mexican economy will grow at an annual rate of 1.2% by the end of 2024. Construction will close with a GDP growth of 10.1%, accumulated to the 2Q24, and will sustain the weak growth of the Mexican economy in 2024.

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Our most recent publications

December 23, 2024

Spain | The cross-border activity of Spanish banking

Banking activity, understood as the channeling of savings into investment, is not restricted only to the local market with its domestic sectors, but also a relevant part is carried out by banks in their international activity.

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December 20, 2024

Colombia | Banco de la Republica reduced its policy rate by 25 bp to 9.50%

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December 16, 2024

US | Fed likely remains confident enough to keep cutting rates at a 25bp pace