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    Our featured publications

    January 31, 2025

    Europe| CBAM: Driving the Green Transition Within and Beyond the EU

    CBAM should strengthen the EU’s green transition while also promoting fair competition and global decarbonization. It will impact key trade partners, particularly those exporting high-carbon products, pushing them to adopt more sustainable practices.

    January 27, 2025

    Global | The impact of IA on employment and productivity

    Artificial intelligence (AI) aims to transform a multitude of fields of knowledge, emerging as a general-purpose technology (GPT). In terms of productivity, economic growth, and the labor market, the effect of AI is limited at present, and there is extensive debate regarding its future impact.

    January 22, 2025

    Mexico | Trump 2.0 Mass Deportation: A Low Probability Event

    On the first day of the Trump 2.0 administration, at least 7 executive orders or proclamations were issued regarding immigration issues, highlighting the importance of this issue for his government.

    December 23, 2024

    Spain | 2024 Regional Economic Yearbook of Catalonia

    With 30 editions already published, the BBVA Regional Economic Yearbook is the most detailed and complete report on the economy of the regions of Catalonia. Online access through a digital portal is a new feature this year. The increase in Catalonia’s GVA in 2023 (2.9%) has already brought it back to pre-pandemic levels.

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    Our most recent publications

    February 5, 2025

    Colombia | Resilient labor market in 2024, with employment rebounding at year-end

    The average national unemployment rate for 2024 was 10.2%, unchanged from 2023. In major cities, the unemployment rate declined between 2023 and 2024, whereas it increased in the rest of areas. Throughout 2024, the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate trended downward, closing at 9.7% in December.

    February 5, 2025

    Mexico | With the tariff threat in pause, a 50bp rate cut now seems very likely

    Below 4.0% inflation, easing core services inflation, softer aggregate demand, a cooling labor market, a peso that continues to hold up, and an overly restrictive monetary policy stance, keep the door wide open for a larger 50bp cut.

    February 5, 2025

    Mexico | Public debt increases by almost 5 percentage points of GDP in 2024

    The Historical Balance of Public Sector Borrowing Requirements (HBPSBR) was 51.4% of GDP at the end of 2024. We expect this indicator of public debt-to-GDP ratio to be 53.1% at year-end.

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