BBVA Research
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March 25, 2025
Argentina Economic Outlook. March 2025
In 2025, GDP is expected to grow by 5.5%, driven by consumption and investment, within a context of disinflationary consolidation and fiscal-monetary discipline. However, two key challenges remain: maintaining fiscal austerity during an election year and making significant progress in normalizing the foreign exchange market
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March 18, 2025
Peru Economic Outlook. March 2025
The Peruvian economy will grow 3.1% in 2025, 0.4 percentage points more than forecast in December. This change primarily reflects higher expected growth in the US and China and earlier and increased investment flows into some mining and infrastructure projects. Growth is projected to remain at 2.7% for 2026.
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March 17, 2025
Brazil Economic Outlook. March 2025
GDP growth is expected to slow to 1.6% in 2025 and 1.8% in 2026, following three years of around 3% growth. The slowdown will be driven by tighter monetary conditions, a weaker fiscal impulse, and a less favorable global context, though the primary sector and labor market resilience will provide support.
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March 13, 2025
Colombia Economic Outlook. March 2025
Colombia’s economy will grow 2.5% in 2025 and 2.9% in 2026, driven by consumption and investment. Inflation will continue declining, though housing and energy costs will remain rigid. Monetary policy will gradually lower rates, while the external deficit will widen due to rising imports and lower remittance inflows.
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March 13, 2025
Spain Economic Outlook. March 2025
The recovery will continue in 2025 (2.8%) driven by greater competitiveness, lower oil prices, investment in renewable energy, euro depreciation, and lower inflation and interest rates. In 2026, growth will slow (1.8%) due to weaker expansion in Europe and increased uncertainty.
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March 13, 2025
China Economic Outlook, March 2025
Amid the China-US trade war, we still raised our China 2025 and 2026 GDP forecast due to the jumbo size stimulus package, the new growth engine high-end manufacturing to support growth and lower-than-expected tariff imposed.
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March 11, 2025
Argentina | Energy Outlook 2025: Oil and Gas
Hydrocarbons remain a key component of both the global and Argentine energy matrix. The development of unconventional resources, led by Vaca Muerta, has revitalized the industry and improved the country's energy balance.. Despite the growth of renewable energies, gas and oil will continue to be fundamental.
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March 11, 2025
Türkiye Economic Outlook. March 2025
Global financial volatility has risen due to the impact of evolving US policies, which we expect to create negative shocks. In Türkiye, financial conditions have recently eased above the neutral level and credit growth has accelerated beyond the capped segments, increasing the challenges on the inflation outlook.
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February 25, 2025
Argentina | Automotive Outlook 2025
The automotive industry has shown signs of recovery following the recent recession, with announcements of tax and tariff reductions favoring consumers and projecting an increase in vehicle sales in 2025, driven by enhanced income and improved credit access.
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Our most recent publications
Filter all of our publications to find the ones about the geography you are most interested in.
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April 7, 2025
Latam | Economic normalization amid an uncertain environment
The last months of 2024 gave some glimpses of the challenges Latam could face in the coming years. However, looking beyond the first quarter of 2025, some—albeit not all—of these warning signs have faded.
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April 7, 2025
Global | Tariffs: a misguided shock therapy
In the 21st century, history is again being challenged by a wave of protectionism from the United States. President Donald Trump has just announced a barrage of tariffs that marks the country's biggest protectionist offensive in almost a century.
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April 7, 2025
Spain | Employment on the rise, productivity slowing
The latest Social Security enrollment figures for March come as welcome news for the Spanish economy, yet they are also a timely reminder that job creation alone is not enough in itself: we also need it to be more productive.
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April 4, 2025
Colombia | BanRep: A welcome surprise!
The Banco de la República kept its interest rate unchanged in March, in a context of mixed variables surrounding the decision. In the end, the Bank prioritized economic stability, offering a significant demonstration of independence and technical expertise.
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April 4, 2025
