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January 3, 2025
Consumer prices rose by %1.03 m/m in December, lower than consensus and our expectations (both at 1.6%), leading year-end annual inflation to reach 44.4%. We maintain our year-end 2025 inflation forecasts of 26.5% on a more balanced risk outlook.
January 3, 2025
Social Security enrollment increased by 35,500, and unemployment fell by 25,300. After adjusting for seasonality, the number of contributors rose by 37,700, while the number of unemployed dropped by 10,900. 2024 ended with 750,400 more affiliates and 602,400 fewer unemployed.
January 2, 2025
President-elect Trump has threatened mass deportations and greater border securitization, which could affect remittances to Mexico and LAC. However, it is a very unlikely scenario because it would affect the U.S. economy that depends on migrant labor force and increase inflation in that country.
December 30, 2024
The average price for 2024 has been very close to $80 per barrel of Brent, although with a downward trend throughout the year, largely due to more subdued economic activity in China and the gradual increase in supply from the main producers in the Americas.
