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January 13, 2025
The Big Data Private Consumption Index continued to decelerate its year-over-year growth, registering 6.4% in December. This slowdown reflects the waning impact of pension fund withdrawals by households, which had provided a temporary boost through October.
January 10, 2025
Colombia’s domestic savings reached 15.4% of GDP in Q3 2024, driven by the private sector. Yet, the annual average of 11.3% reveals structural challenges. Addressing fiscal imbalances is vital to establishing savings as the foundation for sustainable growth.
January 10, 2025
Inflation closed the year with an annual variation of 5.20%, remaining unchanged compared to the figure recorded in November. The monthly variation was 0.46%, above the expectations of market analysts, who according to the Banco de la República survey expected a monthly variation of 0.41%.
January 10, 2025
In its January meeting, the Board of the Central Bank decided to cut the policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.75%. The monetary policy stance, understood as the real ex-ante reference rate, remains slightly above neutral.
January 6, 2025
The consumer price index increased 0.11% m/m in December. The month’s result is explained by the seasonal increase in transportation prices, while on the other hand food prices decreased. The year-on-year inflation rate was 2.0% in December (center of the BCRP target range).
January 2, 2025
President-elect Trump has threatened mass deportations and greater border securitization, which could affect remittances to Mexico and LAC. However, it is a very unlikely scenario because it would affect the U.S. economy that depends on migrant labor force and increase inflation in that country.
December 20, 2024
The Board of Banrep reduced its monetary policy rate by 25 bps, bringing it to 9.50%. This decision was split: 5 members in favor of the 25 bp reduction, one in favor of a 50 bp reduction and one in favor of a 75 bp reduction. This is an important change in the Board's stance, after 6 meetings with rate cuts of 50bp.
December 16, 2024
Activity advanced 3.4% year-on-year in October. By productive sectors, the behavior of the non-primary component of GDP stood out, which registered an expansion of 4.2% and within this the sustained improvement of non-primary manufacturing (greater manufacturing of consumer and capital goods), construction and trade.
December 13, 2024
In 2023, Colombia hosted 6.1 million international tourists and robust domestic tourism, contributing 2.3% to GDP. By 2026, over 7 million visitors are projected. Despite challenges in infrastructure, security, and sustainability, the sector shows remarkable potential.
December 13, 2024
In its December meeting, the Board of the Central Bank kept the reference interest rate at 5.00%. The monetary policy stance, understood as the ex-ante real reference rate, remains contractionary.
December 11, 2024
The Big Data Private Consumption Index slowed its growth in November in a context where no additional pension fund withdrawals took place (these occurred between June and October), reducing consumer liquidity.
